Bounding the Bias of Tree-Like Sampling in IP Topologies

It is widely believed that the Internet’s AS-graph degree distribution obeys a power-law form. Most of the evidence showing the power-law distribution is based on BGP data. However, it was recently argued that since BGP collects data in a tree-like fashion, it only produces a sample of the degree distribution, and this sample may be biased. This argument was backed by simulation data and mathematical analysis, which demonstrated that under certain conditions a tree sampling procedure can produce an artificial power-law in the degree distribution. Thus, although the observed degree distribution of the AS-graph follows a power-law, this phenomenon may be an artifact of the sampling process. In this work we provide some evidence to the contrary. We show, by analysis and simulation, that when the underlying graph degree distribution obeys a power-law with an exponent γ > 2, a tree-like sampling process produces a negligible bias in the sampled degree distribution. Furthermore, recent data collected from the DIMES project, which is not based on BGP sampling, indicates that the underlying AS-graph indeed obeys a power-law degree distribution with an exponent γ > 2. By combining this empirical data with our analysis, we conclude that the bias in the degree distribution calculated from BGP data is negligible.